Have you ever wanted to know how to calculate the probability that a safe first night in the mafia/werewolf party game was due to a lucky guess by the guardian angel? Have no idea what I’m talking about?
Well, you might need to follow the link to understand what I’m talking about, but at least one person wanted to know, and it sparked my first answer to a Stack Exchange question… and it was accepted!
http://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/86262/probability-in-mafia-werewolf-party-game
richguilmain 